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A mathematical model suggests that no single intervention is sufficient to curb the Ebola epidemic in West Africa.

The authors modelled the potential effect of four non-pharmaceutical interventions recommended by the WHO, such as isolating Ebola cases at hospitals, quarantining patients’ contacts, and implementing sanitary funeral practices.

Their model suggest that no single intervention is sufficient, and that multiple interventions are needed. The model also shows that by December, hundreds of new infections could arise daily in Liberia alone under the status quo.

Original research paper published in Science on October 30, 2014.

Names and affiliations of selected authors

Alison P. Galvani, Yale School of Public Health, USA